scalping is a short term method of day trading and forex scalpers are looking to take small profits regularly by timing moves on hourly charts. The idea is to only take small profits but get lots of them, to build profits over time and earn a big consistent income. There are lots of forex scalping systems for sale but how do you pick a winner?
The first thing you need to do, is look at the track record of the scalping system presented to you and check for a disclaimer. If you see the one below ( or one with a similar wording), you need to forget the system and look at others. Here it is read it carefully:
"CFTC RULE 4.41 - Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown".
Basically, the above means the forex scalping system has not been traded and the vendor has simulated the track record in hindsight. A disclaimer like this, tells you nothing about the profitability of the system, as of course if we all knew tomorrow's price today, we would ALL be rich!
Making money in hindsight is easy, but we don't have that advantage in the real world.
Now you may be thinking well that's obvious enough - I Will just find a real time track record of forex scalping profits.
Get ready for a long search then! Why?
Well I have been searching for 25 years and not found a real time track record and the reason is:
Forex scalping doesn't work over the long term, because the logic it is based upon is fundamentally flawed.
The logic is, you can predict where prices will go in just a few hours - but of course you can't do this.
Volatility in short time frames is simply random.
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Tuesday, December 30, 2008
How to Find a Winning Forex Scalping System
Forex Scalping Methods for Big Consistent Profits
Here we are going to look at forex Scalping methods and how they aim to achieve big consistent profits from day trading regularly and looking to accumulate small profits each day to build huge profits overtime. Let’s look at forex scalping in more detail.
Forex scalping is more popular than ever and there are numerous forex trading systems
and e-books, which claim it works but none of them work, (we will return to this in a minute) as the logic behind forex scalping is totally incorrect.
Why Forex Scalping Can NEVER work longer term
The reason it doesn’t work and never can is simple to understand if you think about it – you need valid data!
Consider this:
Each day trillions of dollars are traded by millions of forex traders and the total of all these opinions come together and give us the price.
The thought that you can tell what all these millions of people will do, in just a few hours is laughable.
You can’t!
Volatility can and does take prices anywhere in short time periods and support and resistance levels are meaningless. If you have no valid data, you will lose and that’s EXACTLY what happens to people who try forex scalping or day trading.
You may be saying:
I have seen the proof it works and seen track records presented by forex scalpers and yes you have – but their NOT real!
See the standard CFTC disclaimer below and you will see why these track records cannot be trusted:
“Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those show”.
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