Showing posts with label fundamental analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fundamental analysis. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Personal Opinion in Forex Trading for Beginner Forex Traders

Forex trading requires own opinion, cannot just rely on the Forex experts.

We do not mean that we should not believe in the Forex experts. To the Forex expert's opinion, we should have an objective manner. Forex expert is also a human being, they could also make mistake. We can refer to the Forex expert's opinions but we must also go through own analysis. This issue is very important to beginners of Forex trading. A lot of people believe in the Forex expert's opinions extremely. Today if a Forex expert said that, some currency technical chart is extremely good and it must rise, how could a Forex trader miss this opportunity of making money? Hurries to buy. After buying it, the Forex trader also saw another Forex expert said the fundamental analysis of this currency is not strong, the probability of falling is very high. Since this Forex expert does not favor this currency, so it will not be wrong, to prevent any lost Forex traders will often settle all the positions. This kind of Forex trader has no personal opinion, basically those who believe in the Forex experts extremely will only lost money in the end. Forex traders can be divided into 2 groups. The first group is the beginner of the Forex market. This group of Forex traders know nothing about both technical and fundamental analysis, so the probability of making profit is smaller, without any own opinion, the only choice is to follow the expert's opinions blindly.

The second group of Forex traders have consist knowledge of both fundamental and technical analysis for period of time. But as a result of a few big faults, they have made a very big lost, and causes the minds of these Forex traders are often confuse. Even though, after several repeated analysis, in the end they decided to follow the Forex expert's opinions. It doesn’t not mean that we should not listen to the Forex experts, the most important thing is that we also must have our own opinions. Of course, such opinions do not come automatically. Otherwise such opinion is blind, a Forex trader must spend time and effort to slowly develop a suitable analysis method and skills. If not, such opinion is blind and it would be much more dangerous to follow expert's opinion. Some people argued that they just entered the foreign exchange market, and know nothing about the fundamental and technical analysis, without any personal analysis method and skills, what should they do? Here, we do not oppose such Forex traders to follow the Forex expert's opinions. Beginner Forex trader should choose a right Forex expert and do not ever change the Forex experts often, or else will loss money in the end. Every Forex expert has different opinions, some trade short term, some trade long term. No matter his or her suggestion is correct or is wrong, at long as his or her analysis mentality is coherent at most, even sometimes it is wrong, but the overall probability of profit making is still bigger.

For instance, follows the expert A to say today may buy up some kind of currency, his trading mentality is long term based, supposes his judgment analysis is correct, and then you buy up this kind of currency to make a long term transaction. If all in a sudden you follow the expert B's opinion to trade, saying the currency shall fall, in fact he is the short term based trader, any rise currency can fall, therefore the expert said the trend will fall is also correct. If you follow the expert B's suggestion, and settle the position to stop loss. Such trading skill in the end is totally wrong.

Since two experts said have not been all wrong, why did we loss money? This is the result of mentality transaction. Since a Forex trader followed the expert A's suggestion, bought up for long term, then the trading skill should be long term, if all in a sudden a Forex trader listened to expert B, and convert to short term trading, in the end losing money is no surprise.


ForexGen offers three types of business partnerships:

*Introducing Broker *White label *Money Manager

ForexGen Introducing Brokers, White Label and Money Manager holders are recognized as a strategic business partners. The main focus of our service is to satisfy our partner's needs in order to deal with a qualified service and gain a huge income sharing plan.

[ForexGen] provide appropriate services satisfying the needs of all business partner's specified situation and requirements.

Thursday, January 1, 2009

An Introduction To Fundamental Analysis


It is generally said that information is the basis of profitable Forex trading but, though correct and timely information is indeed vital for currency trading,

it is the examination of this information that is the real key. There are currently two main forms of analysis used in Forex trading – fundamental and technical analysis - and in this short article we are going to examine precisely what is meant by fundamental analysis.

At its simplest, fundamental analysis looks at both political and economic conditions that could have an affect upon currency prices and Forex traders who use fundamental analysis rely upon news reports for information on a whole range of things including, economic policy, inflation, growth rates and rates of unemployment.
Basically, fundamental analysis provides an outline of currency movements together with a broad picture of economic conditions that could well alter the value of a particular currency. With this picture in mind, Forex traders will then frequently move on to use technical analysis to then plot entry and exit points into the market and to complement the information gained using fundamental analysis.

The Forex market is much like other markets and is affected by the laws of supply and demand, which are also affected by economic conditions. Two economic factors affecting supply and demand are interest rates and the strength of the economy and the strength of the economy is affected by the gross domestic product (GDP), foreign investment and the economy's balance of trade.
Various economic indicators are published by governments and other sources and are normally considered to be sound measures of economic health that are followed by all sectors of the investment market. Almost all economic indicators are published once a month although some are released more often and usually weekly.
Two of the key fundamental indicators are international trade figures and interest rates, but other extremely helpful indicators include the, consumer price index (CPI), producer price index (PPI), purchasing manager's index (PMI), durable goods orders and retail sales.


ForexGen offers three types of business partnerships:

*Introducing Broker *White label *Money Manager

ForexGen Introducing Brokers, White Label and Money Manager holders are recognized as a strategic business partners. The main focus of our service is to satisfy our partner's needs in order to deal with a qualified service and gain a huge income sharing plan.

[ForexGen] provide appropriate services satisfying the needs of all business partner's specified situation and requirements.

Why Most Forex Traders Use Technical Analysis

For many years Forex traders based their trading decisions on fundamental analysis which examines both past and current political and economic events in order to predict movements in currencies.

However fundamental analysis is a difficult art requiring considerable knowledge and experience and the ability to handle and analyze enormous amounts of data. As if this were not enough, there is also considerable disagreement in many quarters about just what data is and is not important when it comes to fundamental analysis and, even when it is agreed that certain data is relevant, there is often further argument about just how much weight should be attributed to each factor in the equation.
Today there is also a second form of analysis which is widely used and which is known as technical analysis. While proponents of technical analysis would probably tell you that it is no easier and in many ways more difficult an art to master than fundamental analysis, the truth of the matter is that it is a lot easier to learn technical analysis and this in no small measure explains why so many traders are adopting it in preference to fundamental analysis and are opting for technical analysis training. Which method is better is of course a whole different argument.

In considering technical analysis it is necessary to understand its three underlying principles:
All sorts of things will produce movements in currency prices, including political and economic events, but the forces which produce currency price movements are not important. As far as technical analysis is concerned it is simply the price movements themselves which are important and not the reasons for them.
A currency price will follow a trend which can be identified by looking at the patterns which emerge in the market over time.

A currency price not only follows a trend in terms of looking at historical market data, but will continue to follow this trend in the future. In effect this principle reflects the technical analyst's view of human psychology and a belief that currency price movements are a consequence of the manner in which people have reacted, and will continue to react, in certain circumstances.
Many of the 'old school' and 'fundamentalist' Forex traders find it hard to accept the principles of technical analysis and still hold firm to the belief that you cannot accurately predict a currency's movement unless you have a sound understanding of just what factors affect the price of that currency and indeed just what effect these factors will have on its movement.

Nevertheless, the fact of the matter is that many traders believe that this is not necessary and base their often extremely successful trading purely on technical analysis. No system, at least none that has been devised so far, will predict currency movements with one hundred percent accuracy but fundamental and technical analysis do a pretty good job.
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Introducing Brokers may be individuals or institutions who gain their income from the commissions and/or rebates by introducing customers to ForexGen trading.


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Sunday, August 17, 2008

ForexGen Trading Strategies

To be a successful FOREX trader you need a trading strategy. There is no one set strategy that is good for all traders; rather, each trader needs to develop his or her individual approach to the FOREX. Some traders rely solely on technical analysis while others prefer fundamental analysis,
but many successful FOREX traders use a combination of both to get a broad overview of the market and for plotting entry and exit points.
Technical analysis relies on one key concept: Prices move by trends. The common saying in FOREX is 'The trend is your friend.' Market movements have identifiable patterns that have been studied over many years and a thorough understanding of these trends and how they can be read forms the basis of a good trading strategy.


There are many analytical tools available in ForexGen to understand market movements. The beginner FOREX trader is well advised to study each one separately for getting a working knowledge of their concepts and application. Once one has been understood, keep on using it while studying others. Each tool tends to reinforce the others.
Support and resistance levels are used in many FOREX trading strategies. 'Support' refers to the price level that is repeatedly seen as the bottom – when the price reaches this level it tends to rise. Resistance levels are upper prices that the currency rarely trades beyond. Support and resistance levels contain price movements for a period of time.
When currency prices break through support or resistance levels, the prices are expected to continue in that direction. For example, if the price rises above the previous resistance level, it is seen as bullish – the price should continue to rise.

To find support and resistance levels, price charts need to be analyzed for unbroken support and resistance levels. Charts can be analyzed in any time frame; however longer time frames establish more important support/resistance levels. Traders can use support/resistance levels to determine when to enter or exit a transaction.

Moving averages are another common tool in FOREX strategies. The simple moving average (SMA) shows the average price in a given period of time over a specified period of time. Moving averages serve to eliminate short term price fluctuations giving a clearer picture of price movements. FOREX traders can plot a SMA to determine when prices have a tendency to rise or fall. If prices cross above the SMA they have a tendency to keep on rising. Conversely, prices below the SMA have a tendency to continue their downward motion.
These are two examples of trading strategies that can be used individually or in combination. In practice, the FOREX trader should have a repertoire of trading tools to examine market conditions and to support the findings of one study or another. If several indicators show that the market is moving in a particular direction the trader can act with more assurance than when relying on a single indicator.

Similarly, fundamental analysis can be used to reinforce technical findings, or vice versa. Ideally, the FOREX trader will take several indicators into account when plotting a trading strategy.
Every trading strategy should provide clear guidelines about when to enter a trade, what to expect in terms of market movement, when to exit a trade, and how much loss can be accepted in case the deal moves against the trader. Following these simple guidelines and learning about technical analysis can help you become a successful FOREX trader.
One of the best online FOREX trading strategy courses is offered by professional experts in ForexGen. They are an authority in currency trading education and demonstrates simple yet powerful currency trading strategies used by banks, financial institutions and professional Forex traders.