Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Reading a Chart and Acting Effectively

It's a guide that tells you, in simple understandable language,

how to choose the right charts, reading these charts correctly, and act effectively in the market from what you see on these charts. Probably most of you have taken a course or studied the use of charts in the past. This should add to your knowledge about choosing the right carts and reading these charts correctly. There are several good charting packages available free. I use and what I recommend you "Netdania".

Using Charts Effectively
The default number of periods on these charts is 300. This is a good starting point;
• Hourly chart that's about 12 days of data.
• 15 minute chart its 3 days of data.
• 5-minute chart it's slightly more than 24 hours of data.
You can create multiple "tabs" or "layouts" so that it's easy to quickly switch between charts or sets of charts.

What to Look at First
Firstly, glance at hourly chart to see the big picture. Note significant support and resistance levels within 2of today's opening rate.
Secondly, study the 15 minute chart in great detail noting the following:
• Prevailing trend
• Current price in relation to the 60 period simple moving average.
• High and low since GMT 00:00
• Tops and bottoms during full 3 day time period

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If you are an experienced ‘FOREX’ Trader or just a beginner looking for the opportunities offered in the ‘FOREX’ market, [Forexgen] has created ForexGen Academy to give you the chance to get a ‘FOREX’ education and improve your trading skills. No hard expressions, no buzz words, and no rocket science language are used throughout these lessons.
How to Get Started?

People are introduced to the exciting world of foreign exchange in many ways: friends, current events, newspapers, television, and many others. For those of you who are new to forex, the following guidelines cover the basics of currency trading.

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How does a faulty Forex dealer eat your money?

Forex market is a non-centralized market.

There is no common market place for Forex traders and there is no so-call ‘standard’ in foreign currency exchange price. Different Forex dealers offer very different deals to their customers. As an individual FX trader, you depends solely on the dealer to make a transaction in your trades, thus picking up the right dealer is extremely crucial in your risk.

You may wonder how does a faulty dealer can cheat on your money as all investment call have to go thru your decisions.

Well, here's a typical example:

Often a bad dealer is not totally scams. They are smart persons that trick money from traders that are not well-aware. These dealers, often known as retail market makers, will often encourage their clients to trade on margin and set stop loss orders, which allow the market makers to close out trades almost at will during busy markets at prices they have set. If the market maker does not offset the trader's position, the loss generated when a stop loss is triggered becomes the market maker's gain.
Trade prices are easily skewed one way or the other depending on the retail trader's position, which is known by the market maker. Traders can be encouraged to take risky positions just before major economic announcements. If all else fails, the market maker can quote extreme prices (known as spiking) to trigger stop loss orders while the client is at work or asleep.
The vast majority of retail FX traders are not profitable. For those losing retail speculators, much of the funds they had on deposit will be, in some form or another, transferred to the market maker.

As you can see, a stop loss order may not always on your side. Be very clear on who you are dealing with in Forex trading to avoid being cheated.

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Forex Trading is booming!

Currency Trading has experienced phenomenal growth in recent years as many investors are looking for ways to profit from the lucrative 1.5 trillion currency trading marketplace. And author/professional trader Peter Bain is the ideal authority to help you understand and profit from this complex marketplace. His Forex Course teaches the same system used by banks, financial institutions and professional Forex traders alike to trade currencies on the foreign exchange. For the first time, Peter's making his "Commercial Forex Trading" system available to the public in the form of a video currency trading course. Peter Bain’s video course is a complete trading solution. Let Peter will show you the trading techniques used by the commercial institutions and banks.

To involve in FOREX trading, you must similarly prime your mind to get ideas flowing. The various ideas in your mind are stored in a hierarchical structure. Information is stored together in a group, depending on its meaning. It's hard to bring information about that topic into consciousness when you aren't thinking of a particular topic; it depends on their stagnant and hidden. When you put effort to think carefully about a specific topic, or a closely related topic, and start running througha bunch of possibilities, all kinds of new possibilities become transparent. Various concepts andideas, almost unconsciously are scan through your mind. This wealth of information combines will create a new. For example, suppose you get an indefinite trading idea about how a set of indicatorsmay forecast the price of a particular stock. Once you get the basic idea in your mind, you can prime your mind to get the creative juices flowing.For instant, scan a set of charts to back test and find support for your hypothesis. Once you look through the charts, you will prompt to other related information after seeing at the information. Yet the idea soon will leak out, and you'll make a new discovery as this is a basis for a new trading strategy.

The main point is that you must set your thinking processes to create a new idea. When you put on a trade, you have the attention to starts on focus, your senses are heightened, and your perspective will change until you see new ideas. The more ideas you will create new discoveries when the more your mind is active. It is helpful when knowing about the creative process and how to set it in motion gives you power. Unable to think creatively is the reason brings some people down.Actually they can, they just need to know how to do it. To think creatively, it's vital to be relaxed and free of anxiety. It is also essential to prime your mind in order to start the process.When it’s the time to think of a new trading idea, think creatively. Processing the creative in motion may help you come up with a big idea that will make you huge profits


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[ForexGen] provide appropriate services satisfying the needs of all business partner's specified situation and requirements.

Monday, January 5, 2009

The 7 Most Common Forex Trading Mistakes

When trading currencies online, there seems to be no end to the mistakes a beginning forex trader can make. Beginning traders are always the most susceptible, but experienced traders can often revert back into bad practices as well. Here are some of the most common trading mistakes listed in no particular order, and how to avoid them.

Predicting instead of reacting.
Otherwise known as overconfidence. This usually happens after a winning trade or two. The trader starts to think that if he can enter a trade sooner, he will get more pips. He begins to believe he can pick the top or bottom before the market reveals it to him. So instead of reacting to what the market is telling him, he starts to predict what the market will do. He enters a trade and the market continues its move, which is against him. Now, does he admit he was wrong and close his position, or does he add to it?

Adding to losing positions. Here is an extension of predicting instead of reacting. Look, you just entered a trade and the market is going against your position. The market is telling you, you are wrong. Now is the time to close your position, not add to it. If you add to your losing position, you are making at least two incorrect decisions. First, you are predicting the market will turn around. Second, you are hoping the market will prove you right because you are unable to admit you made a losing trade. Losing trades are a fact of life in the forex market. You weren't wrong, simply, your edge didn't play in your favor on this trade. Close your losing position and move onto the next trade.

Insufficient capitalization. Forex trading is already highly leveraged. Insufficient capitalization just magnifies the potential problems you can face. If you read about the famous and big name traders, they never use more than 1% - 2% of their trading capital on a position. Get out a calculator and let's see... 1% of $10,000 is $100. So as a position trader who might have a stop-loss order of 100 pips, you can only trade one mini lot of one currency pair for each $10,000 in your trading account. That is, if you want to trade like the pros. Do you have $10,000 in your account? Why do forex dealers boldly advertise you can start trading with only $250 then? Because they are in business to make money, and if they can convince you to commit trading errors, they stand a much better chance that they will soon have your money.

Overtrading. A close cousin of insufficient capitalization. Knowing that very few currency traders trade with sufficient capital in the first place, they further compound the potential problems by trading too actively and in too many currency pairs. Spreading themselves too thin you might say. Potential problems include loosing focus and margin calls. Getting a margin call is a very irresponsible position for a forex trader to be in and is a direct result of overtrading, over leveraging, and insufficient capitalization. This is as close to the perfect recipe for failure as you can get.

Not using stop-loss orders. There are very few times when not using stop-loss orders is the correct action to take. Large traders with several hundred or more lots don't want to advertise where their stops are placed is one. The other might be scalpers whose stop is only 10-15 pips away. By the time they figure the math and enter it in the system, the price might already be there or even past it. And some forex dealing stations won't let you place stops closer than 15 pips anyway, especially in fast moving situations. Other than those times, you need to put stop-loss orders in on every position. It is in your own best interest to protect yourself. I know, some people whine that their stops are always being run by the dealer. A whole article could be written on stop-loss order management, if not a complete chapter in a book. Let's just say for now, don't put them where everybody else does, and don't put them too close.

Trading as a hobby. Golf is a hobby and it costs you money to play. Horseback riding is a hobby and it costs you money as well. The point is hobbies cost money, business makes money. You need to treat your forex trading as a business if you ever hope to make money on a consistent basis. That means keeping records, keeping a trading journal, and have a written business plan. You wouldn't invest money into a start up business without first seeing a business plan, so why would you invest money into your own trading account without the same thoughtful consideration.

Not having a trading plan. This is one of those catch-all mistakes. If you have a written trading plan, and follow it, you will already have identified and hopefully eliminated all of the above mistakes. If you don't have a written trading plan, you are almost assuredly making some, if not all of the above mistakes. Maybe not all at once, but even occasional mistakes add up quickly. Do yourself a favor and don't put on another trade until you think through and write down the response for all of the above mistakes and any others you can identify, as well as entry and exit rules. Then follow it.

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Introducing Brokers may be individuals or institutions who gain their income from the commissions and/or rebates by introducing customers to ForexGen trading.


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* Providing the most huge income sharing plan
* Providing several ways for our IB's to charge commission.
* ForexGen IB can also charge commission for each lot the traders execute.
* Moreover, ForexGen IB is able to increase the spread for all or certain clients and have ForexGen Investments rebate the difference.

In case the IB does not increase the spread or charge their clients a commission, ForexGen rebate the IB a minor predefined amount for every client's executed lot.
Commission is paid out every month.

Individualized service

[ForexGen] offers our IB's individualized service created according to the individual needs and specified business situation for each IB.
Our Introducing Broker program provides a highly organized program for individualized services and organizations in order to introduce their clients to the online foreign currency exchange market, moreover they will enjoy the benefits of being a part of the ForexGen family.

ForexGen offers 1 pip spread on 10 pairs with high trading techniques that make ForexGen
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FOREX ROLLER COASTER

Lately the Foreign Exchange market has made a roller coaster ride seem boring.

Currency pairs stay in 5 hour quiet lulls, and then either blast off, or drops off a cliff. Economic news, commodity prices, or Central Banker jawboning may cause prices to move at a 90 degree angle and change the global capital flows in mere minutes. I keep trying to write some commentary and by the time I am finished my outline, bigger and broader news hits the market. This week is going to be no different.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two government sponsored entities (GSE’s) that back the majority of US home mortgages are currently going thru solvency questions. These two entities provide an enormous amount of liquidity to the mortgage market and without them, mortgage rates would be significantly higher. Over the weekend, the US Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department assured investors that the US Government is backing the two GSE’s and stands ready to even buy equity stakes in Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae!!! At what point does the US Government exhaust its ability to help the ailing mortgage companies, and other financial institutions? Lets think of the currency implications for all the “bailing out” that the Fed and Treasury have done lately………
Every time the US Fed announces that they will “open up the window” to another type of financial institution, what the Fed is really saying is, “We will take on your securities and lend you cash that you can then use to continue your business activities.” The Fed is effectively both printing money (a job formally reserved for the US Mint), and spending your tax dollars on securities that the big financial institutions do not want to hold anymore. What happens when you print too much money? You get two effects: 1) a devaluation of the currency (falling US Dollar), and 2) Inflation.

The Federal Government needs to clarify their supposed strong dollar policy with real obtainable goals, not just their usual stance of jawboning and looking like a paper tiger. Unfortunately, we do not see this coming in the near future, just more verbal confirmation of a “strong dollar policy”. That being said, all is not lost for the US Dollar…..
For many years, most EUR bulls have used the prospects of higher interest rates to justify the currency’s rally. We believe this is coming to an end!!! The slowdown in the Eurozone economies will cause the interest rate differential between the US and Eurozone to close in the coming year thru expected ECB rate cuts. Our opinion is going against prevailing market sentiment which is aligned with the ECB’s Trichet continued hawkish stance on inflation. But we believe that the Euro currency does not have too much higher to climb verse the US dollar. We are hoping to see some sign of US Dollar bulls capitulation in coming weeks as our market sentiment signal that it is time to put on our long-term short EUR/USD position. Note we do not have a hard target level, just searching for signs of capitulation in the market

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Russia emerging market

Russia can affect emerging markets which it may be forced to trade with,

such as India, China, and Brazil. Russian oil could help a growing Chinese economy and decrease Russia’s dependence on European customers. In a complex environment a static forecast is not possible, but it is clear any instability or even the perception of instability close to Europe will be negative for the Euro. Elite E Services believes the next bubble to pop will be the Euro bubble.

Long term, this is a buying opportunity for hard commodities such as Wheat, Swiss Francs, Oil, and Gold. Whatever happens in this war, the supply side in the Oil market is controlled by unfriendly countries such as Venezuela and Iran. If Russia is now added to the list of unfriendly countries, we can expect Oil to increase long term, as Russia will use this as a bargaining chip in any negotiations.

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1. Lowest spreads in the market with 0-1 pip spread in 10 pairs, no commissions, no swaps and instant account Activation.
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3. ForexGen offers Forex trading in the major currency pairs and crosses.
4. Low capital start, with $250 as a minimum account size.
5. Liquidity and 24/5 availability are the characteristic factors of the Forex market compared with other financial markets.
6. [ForexGen] offers a free trial Forex [demo account] that allows you to test your skills and practice without risking real money.

EES - What Russian war means for the Euro

FX is extremely sensitive to politics, because a shift in a domestic political system can be directly connected to a currency’s value.

For example, the Chinese government announcement that the Yuan would float, albeit a ‘soft peg’ to the USD, shattered the relationship between a previously pegged Yuan and the USD. Many watching the situation in Georgia are unaware how this impacts them, and how it impacts FX. Also, this war, like many wars, is an information war, and the media spin leaves viewers with a less than accurate picture of reality.
The strength of the Euro over the past 5 years has been in part, not European strength as much as American weakness. A combination of economic factors in the US has made investors fear the USD and purchase non-USD based assets in Euros and other foreign currencies. Also, the Fed has been lowering US interest rates to a finally negative real interest rate.

The recent strength in the USD is not USD strength per se, but Euro weakness. The fear is that Europe will be involved in a war with Russia, and energy will be involved. Russia supplies 25% of the EU’s energy needs and over 50% to many Eastern European states , and the EU is Russia’s largest trading partner, totaling $285 Billion .

Immediately after the 4% drop in the Euro in 2 days, Bank of America issued a warning to its’ customers summarizing the situation that, although the USD is showing signs of recovery, a war in Europe does not solve the fundamentally flawed US economy, and they expect further USD weakness .
Russia’s involvement in Europe is not only energy. The US has planned military bases in many eastern-bloc countries, one of which has been signed during the crisis in Georgia .

One problem with Europeans is they cannot agree. This is what makes Europe charming and culture-rich but politically complex. USA is a ‘melting-pot’ which has become a mono-culture based on corporatism, while American’s argue their thinking lies in the same direction. Since the US Civil war, US mono-culture has solidified the mainstream in a view that always agrees on some tenets, this is not the case in Europe. Entry into the EU and the Euro passed referendum in many EU states by thin margins, there are those who would like to revert back to national currencies.

One main difference between the Euro and other currencies: the Euro does not have a government behind it. Individual EU states retain their sovereignty, and those states central banks have essentially no power to influence the Euro directly, except for lobbying the ECB. So the Euro is a designer currency hanging on a thin margin, which could be toppled by a severe energy crisis should the situation with Russia escalate. US involvement in Eastern European countries will only increase the chances of Russia’s will to turn off the lights.
Russia has already quietly begun selling oil in Rubles , and announced the Ruble is fully convertible (since 2006) . While by itself these actions are not market-shattering, combined with the potential conflict in Georgia, and Russia’s aggressive policy to capitalize on their vast wealth in natural resources, a situation is brewing in Europe which can be potentially explosive. Any turmoil can be seen as bad for the Euro, regardless of the actual damage done. The disadvantage of Europe is it’s history: Europe has been involved in wars and currency devaluations. As poor as the US economic numbers are, the US is involved in foreign wars at its leisure, there is no compelling reason the US should be involved in any war.

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